Lexington Park, MD · POP 211,176 · EMP 70,650 · DATA GRADE A
Lexington Park, MD
consensus exposure · range [55.5–57.2] across 6 methodologies
more exposed than 99% of US metros
By methodology
| Index | Exposure |
|---|---|
| OpenAI task exposure (Eloundou et al. 2024) | 56.8 |
| Felten language-modeling AIOE (2023) | 56.6 |
| Microsoft AI applicability (2025) | 57.2 |
| Anthropic Economic Index observed usage (2026) | 55.5 |
| Eisfeldt et al. generative-AI exposure (2024) | 56.2 |
| Consensus (mean) | 56.5 |
Table 1. Where indices disagree, that disagreement is information: prediction-style indices (task ratings) and usage-based indices (observed AI conversations) measure different things. Methods §2.
Secondary measures
payroll-weighted exposure — higher than the headcount number: the exposed jobs are the better-paid ones
of workers are in occupations where ≥50% of tasks are LLM-exposed (Eloundou β; threshold-sensitive — note)
of area employment matched to scored occupations (grade A)
Scenario: if replacement-level AI arrives in 2030
Figure 1. Modeled displacement under the median preset (diffusion k=0.8, ceiling 0.75, automation share 0.45, friction lag 1.5y, attrition 3%/y). Solid: positions eliminated. The gap between gross and layoffs is natural attrition — speed of diffusion, not depth of exposure, determines layoffs. This is a scenario, not a forecast: adjust every assumption.
Where the losses land — and your assumptions
Positions eliminated by 2035 per occupation group, under the arrival year selected above. Drag any multiplier if you think we're wrong about a group — your model, your numbers. Multipliers scale that group's task exposure (×0 = immune, ×2 = double).
Table 3. Group exposure = employment-weighted mean task exposure (Eloundou β) over the group's local occupations. Bars use the same scenario engine as Figure 1 (median preset).
Most exposed local occupations
| Occupation | Jobs | Median wage | Exposure [range] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Business Operations Specialists, All Other | 2,180 | $136,660 | 76.3 | |
| Retail Salespersons | 2,250 | $34,360 | 67 | |
| Secretaries and Administrative Assistants, Except Legal, Medical, and Executive | 1,260 | $47,840 | 89.8 | |
| General and Operations Managers | 1,990 | $106,250 | 56.5 | |
| Management Analysts | 1,300 | $130,020 | 83 | |
| Logisticians | 1,350 | $131,600 | 72.1 | |
| Computer Occupations, All Other | 1,000 | $144,680 | 88.8 | |
| Cashiers | 1,560 | $33,180 | 54.8 | |
| Project Management Specialists | 980 | $103,700 | 71.6 | |
| Aerospace Engineers | 960 | $138,380 | 70.3 |
Table 2. Ranked by exposure × local employment. Bands on the 0–100 occupation scale.
Compare Lexington Park against any other metro — side by side.